Alberta Election Tracking

We're more or less halfway through the 29th Alberta Legislature, and fortunately pollsters have continued to be relatively active in keeping track of voter preferences in that time.

I've cobbled together two models for the upcoming election, and hope to add to that over the next two years. The first one is a province-wide poll tracker, where I'll be taking the various opinion polls and estimating the trend in voting preference, as well as estimating the actual voting preference and confidence in that preference. This takes into account the date and length of time between each poll taken, as well as the sample sizes of each poll.


2 comments:

JVB said...

Will you be doing seat projections? or commentary on the riding-level? Or various scenarios based on the polls?

Michael Ross said...

Hi!

Yup, I’m just finishing transfering poll data from the old electoral districts to the new ones, then I’ll update here!