Monday, October 23, 2017

Edmonton Election 2017

Another election has come and gone, and apart from a handful of new faces the biggest news is all the new stats! Let's take a look:

First of all, turnout was abysmal. A total of 194,826 people voted, resulting in a voter turnout of 31.5%. The best (blue) and worst (red) areas of the city in terms of voter turnout are shown here:




The colouring of the map is a bit funky since the mean and median are rather far apart, but it gives a decent impression of what happened. In general, it looks like neighborhoods around the river valley voted more often than neighborhoods away from it, which is interesting. The massive difference between the high (66.9%) and low (9.3%) turnout is absolutely astounding to me, and might suggest fairly significant challenges with connecting with voters in certain areas (especially if they can't see the river, apparently...).

Voter turnout can also be measured in a few other ways, including attrition along the ballot. For instance, of everyone who voted, 1.5% neglected to vote for a mayoral candidate, and 1.9% neglected to vote for any council candidate. 26.3% of voters picked a Catholic schools ballot vs. 66.6% Public ballots, and even then 6.5% of Catholics and 9.8% of Publics didn't end up voting for a school trustee anyway. Oddly enough, the total number of Catholic + Public voters doesn't equal the total number of voters, so I'm not entirely sure where the remaining 7.1% of voters did for school board...


Lighter colours represent 'under votes', or people who didn't make a pick for that particular round of voting.
Don Iveson was re-elected mayor with a solid victory. His support levels in Edmonton aren't dissimilar from last election, and are shown here (darker colours meaning higher support).






Iveson's support in general seems very solid in the center of the city, and a bit weaker in the north and southeast than the rest of the city. All that being said, his support ranged from 59.5-85.9% so he has a strong mandate from every part of the city.

Finally, similar to last election, I've taken a look at which councillors' support correlates most or least with the mayor's. Last year, it turned out that a general pattern emerged where the councillors whose support most often correlated with high mayoral support also generally agreed with the mayor on votes. This year, the correlations between councillors and the mayor are:


I'd say this supports the theory from last election - last term, McKeen, Esslinger, Knack, Walters, and Henderson all voted alongside the mayor on more than 80% of non-unanimous votes, while Banga, Caterina, and Nickel (76%, 75%, and 46%, respectively) agreed with the mayor less frequently. While the mayor has had a strong track record of gaining majority support for non-unanimous bills, it does seem as though the candidates who do better in polls where the mayor does worse to tend on average to disagree with him more often than not.

That suggests that perhaps this council will be a little bit closer in voting record than the last one - the four new councillors all showed up in the middle of the pack for mayoral correlations, so likely either they are wildcards for agreement with the mayor, or as new candidates their reputation hasn't yet been tested. Only time will tell!

3 comments:

write my essay said...

You are doing great job in this blog. I read fuul of your post. It is great one. I get more new information about "Edmonton Election 2017". Thank you for sharing useful blog.Thank you!

Zachary Louis said...

HOW I WON 708.7 MILLION US DOLLARS WITH THE HELP OF A GREAT SPELL CASTER DR PETER CALL/WHATSAPP +1(321)754-0649



ZACHARY LOUIS JOE
MY TESTIMONY :
Good day everybody, This is my testimony on how i won 708.7 million dollars on power ball lottery. I want to use this opportunity to thank Dr PETER, for casting a winning spell for me to win the lottery of 708.7 million dollars, lottery ticket. I have been playing lotteries for the past 5 years now and i have never won any. Ever since then i have not been able to win any lotto and i was so upset and i needed help to win this power ball lottery. so i decided to go online and search for help, there i saw so many good testimony about this man called Dr PETER, of how he has cast lucky spell lotto for people to win lotteries. I contacted him also and told him i want to win the power ball lottery, he cast a spell for me which i use to play and won 708.7 million dollars in power ball lottery. I am so grateful to this man, just in-case you also need his help, you can contact him through his Email: MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST@GMAIL.COM OR MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST@YAHOO.COM OR WHATS-APP HIM ON THIS NUMBER +1(321)754-0649 HERE IS HIS WEBSITE http://MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST.WEBSIT2.ME

and he will surely help you just the way he has helped me. i will forever be grateful to him and always testify the good work of him to the whole world.SO CONTACT HIM TODAY and he will surely help you to win any kind of lottery Best ZACHARY LOUIS JOE ,,

Zachary Louis said...

HOW I WON 708.7 MILLION US DOLLARS WITH THE HELP OF A GREAT SPELL CASTER DR PETER CALL/WHATSAPP +1(321)754-0649



ZACHARY LOUIS JOE
MY TESTIMONY :
Good day everybody, This is my testimony on how i won 708.7 million dollars on power ball lottery. I want to use this opportunity to thank Dr PETER, for casting a winning spell for me to win the lottery of 708.7 million dollars, lottery ticket. I have been playing lotteries for the past 5 years now and i have never won any. Ever since then i have not been able to win any lotto and i was so upset and i needed help to win this power ball lottery. so i decided to go online and search for help, there i saw so many good testimony about this man called Dr PETER, of how he has cast lucky spell lotto for people to win lotteries. I contacted him also and told him i want to win the power ball lottery, he cast a spell for me which i use to play and won 708.7 million dollars in power ball lottery. I am so grateful to this man, just in-case you also need his help, you can contact him through his Email: MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST@GMAIL.COM OR MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST@YAHOO.COM OR WHATS-APP HIM ON THIS NUMBER +1(321)754-0649 HERE IS HIS WEBSITE http://MAGNIFICENTSPELLCAST.WEBSIT2.ME

and he will surely help you just the way he has helped me. i will forever be grateful to him and always testify the good work of him to the whole world.SO CONTACT HIM TODAY and he will surely help you to win any kind of lottery Best ZACHARY LOUIS JOE ,,