Tuesday, February 26, 2013

The Economics of Roll Up the Rim to Win

Roll up the Rim is a great Canadian tradition. Once a year Canadians flock to Tim Horton's to buy their coffees in the hopes of winning something wonderful.

According to this year's statistics, just by buying a cup of coffee at Tim Horton's you could win one of:
  • 40 2013 Toyota RAV4 Vehicles
  • 100 $5,000 MasterCard Prepaid Cards
  • 1,000 Napoleon Gourmet Grills
  • 25,000 $100 Tim Cards
  • 10,873,327 Donuts, or
  • 32,619,980 Coffees
This is out of a total of 260,959,840 printed RUTR cups, making the odds of you winning something just slightly higher than 1/6.

Looking at the numbers, you have about a 1/8 chance of winning a coffee on any given cup you buy (ignoring regional variation). With these odds, you would need to buy 6 cups of coffee before expecting a greater than 50% chance of winning one. Assuming, then, that you got the largest size coffee you could as your freebie, and the smallest sizes possible for each attempt, this whole adventure would cost you a net $2.08. Six cups of coffee would gain you an expected $4.52 in winnings (including the chance of donuts and Barbecues, etc.), but would cost $6.60. Fascinatingly, as the largest coffee costs $3.89*, you may actually end up ahead after trying this.

What if your goal was to win a donut? You would expect to buy 17 cups of coffee before having a 50% chance of getting one of those. During this adventure you'd expect to win at least 2 coffees, and your net cost to try this would be $8.04.

Let's ramp it up. How many coffees would you need to buy to get a $100 Tim's Card? 7235. Oof. Not impossible, but a team effort would be required - that's 107 cups of coffee per day of the contest. You'd expect to win about 900 coffees and 300 donuts, but including winnings this would cost a net $3,646.27.

I like Barbecues. I don't think I'd like them enough to buy 180,883 cups of coffee just for the chance to win one, though. Sure, I'd likely get 17 of the Tim's Cards, 22,600 free coffees, and 7,500 donuts, but at a cost of $91,597.23 I think I'd rather just buy one...

It would take 1,808,833 cups of coffee before you'd have more than a 50% chance of winning one of those elusive $5000 MasterCards. In that time you'd likely win 7 barbecues that you could sell for $5,000. I really don't know why you'd bother past that... Anyway, this would lose you $917,747.41.

And what if you really like cars? You'd have to buy at least 5,522,083 coffees to have a reasonable chance at one of those Toyotas. This process would get you 2 MasterCards, 21 Barbecues, 530 Tim's Cards, 690,260 free coffees, and 230,100 donuts, but would cost you $2,801,508.19. For that price, you could just buy 85 of the cars yourself.

More importantly, this would involve you purchasing about 1.3 million liters of coffee over two months. If you think that sounds like a lot, just remember that's only about as much as the amount of oil spilled in the Deepwater Horizon oil spill every three hours.

So is Roll up the Rim worth it? Sure. If you already like Timmy's coffee, then go for it. If you're in it for the prizes, though, you may want to re-think things...

*Values for coffee and donuts based on ranges given in Tim Horton's website, and may not reflect prices at your local store. If you try anything mentioned above and it's more/less expensive than I say, don't blame me*

40 comments:

G said...

Way to release the air from the tires of my new Rav4. Damn you!

Anonymous said...

I guess you didn't read the lawsuit against McDonald's that showed all of the original monopoly winners were hand picked by the company that was paid to administer the game?

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Ann Earnis said...

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This is my testimony about the good work of priest wisdom who help me.... I'm Ann Earnis from north Carolina USA. And am sorry for putting this on net but i will have to, by this world best spell caster that brought back my husband who left me out for past 3 years, i eventually me t this man on a blog site posting by one of is client for help, i explained everything to him and he told me about a spell caster that he had heard about and he gave me an email address to write to the spell caster to tell him my problems. In just 1 days, my husband was back to me. I just want to say thank you to this truthful and sincere spell caster, sir all you told me have come to pass and thank you sir. Please i want to tell everyone who is looking for any solution to their problem, i advice you to kindly consult this spell caster, he is real,he is powerful and whatever the spell caster tell is what will happen, because all what the spell caster told me came to pass. You can kindly contact him on: his email address is supernaturalspell1@gmail.com or directly on whats-app +2348124644470  or   https://supernaturalspell21.blogspot.com/  

Ann Earnis said...

HOW I GOT MY HUSBAND BACK WITH THE HELP OF PRIEST WISDOM CONTACT ON WHATS_APP NUMBER +2348124644470

This is my testimony about the good work of priest wisdom who help me.... I'm Ann Earnis from north Carolina USA. And am sorry for putting this on net but i will have to, by this world best spell caster that brought back my husband who left me out for past 3 years, i eventually me t this man on a blog site posting by one of is client for help, i explained everything to him and he told me about a spell caster that he had heard about and he gave me an email address to write to the spell caster to tell him my problems. In just 1 days, my husband was back to me. I just want to say thank you to this truthful and sincere spell caster, sir all you told me have come to pass and thank you sir. Please i want to tell everyone who is looking for any solution to their problem, i advice you to kindly consult this spell caster, he is real,he is powerful and whatever the spell caster tell is what will happen, because all what the spell caster told me came to pass. You can kindly contact him on: his email address is supernaturalspell1@gmail.com or directly on whats-app +2348124644470  or   https://supernaturalspell21.blogspot.com/  

Edmond Scott said...

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Edmond Scott said...

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JohnRMay said...

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SUSAN HARRI said...

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Murphy said...

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I want to thank Dr okosun a very powerful spell caster who help me to bring my husband back to me, few month ago i have a serious problem with my husband, to the extend that he left the house, and he started dating another woman and he stayed with the woman, i tried all i can to bring him back, but all my effort was useless until the day my friend cameto my house and i told her every thing that had happened between me and my husband, then she told me of a powerful spell caster who help her when she was in the same problem I then contact Dr okosun and told him every thing and he told me not to worry my self again that my husband will come back to me after he has cast a spell on him, i thought it was a joke, after he had finish casting the spell, he told me that he had just finish casting the spell, to my greatest surprise within 48 hours, my husband really came back begging me to forgive him, if you need his help you can contact him with via email: (drokosun12@gmial.com),or via WhatsApp (+2348136785562)

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mofar said...


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Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

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I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he help me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witch craft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me Ramson my friend is the one troubling me and he help me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Pophet Muguru contact him now if you need a death spell at: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
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Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

INSTANT DEATH SPELL CASTER contact dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he help me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witch craft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me Ramson my friend is the one troubling me and he help me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Pophet Muguru contact him now if you need a death spell at: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Whatsapp: +90 538 069 4285
https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

INSTANT DEATH SPELL CASTER contact dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he help me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witch craft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me Ramson my friend is the one troubling me and he help me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Pophet Muguru contact him now if you need a death spell at: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Whatsapp: +90 538 069 4285
https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

INSTANT DEATH SPELL CASTER CONTACT DR. MURUGU +90 538 069 4285 Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
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Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

INSTANT DEATH SPELL CASTER CONTACT DR. MURUGU +90 538 069 4285 Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Real Love Spell, Instant Love/Death Spell Dr.Owobu The Great said...

INSTANT DEATH SPELL CASTER CONTACT DR. MURUGU +90 538 069 4285 Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

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I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

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I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

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I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

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I am very glad for what Prophet Muguru did for me, he helps me to cast a death spell om my friend life who was really troubling my life and future, they never needed me to progress, each time I get a job from a company, I get drove back because of the witchcraft friends I have, I never knew my friend was the one troubling me, until one day I contacted Prophet Muguru for help and he told me, Ramson, my friend is the one troubling me and he helps me to cast unto him a death spell. I am happy because Ramson the evil doer is dead yesterday with the great death spell of Prophet Mujuru. contact him now if you need a death spell at:dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com Call/WhatsApp: +90 538 069 4285
Email: dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
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Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com

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Anonymous said...

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I have decided that I am going to spend the whole day on the internet just to make sure that a lot of people are able to read this my testimony about Dr. Murugu who is a powerful spell caster from Africa After been abandon by my lover I was so lonely that every day that I decided to go through the net for some relationships tips, I never knew that this was the road map that will secure the return of my lover. After reading a lot of tips on how to restore my relationship in a better way I discovered that Dr.Murugu has a lot of recommendation than other spell casters, So with this I had my mind made up that Dr.Murugu was the right person for the job, And I contacted Dr.Murugu through his details which I saw on the internet and i was so happy that I chose to work with Dr.Murugu because his work was 100% perfect and the spell brought my lover back to me with fast relief you can also contact him for help now email.. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
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Anonymous said...

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Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

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Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

NEED INSTANT DEATH SPELLS - VOODOO REVENGE DEATH SPELLS CONTACT DR. MUGURU SPELLS. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

NEED INSTANT DEATH SPELLS - VOODOO REVENGE DEATH SPELLS CONTACT DR. MUGURU SPELLS. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

NEED INSTANT DEATH SPELLS - VOODOO REVENGE DEATH SPELLS CONTACT DR. MUGURU SPELLS. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

NEED INSTANT DEATH SPELLS - VOODOO REVENGE DEATH SPELLS CONTACT DR. MUGURU SPELLS. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

NEED INSTANT DEATH SPELLS - VOODOO REVENGE DEATH SPELLS CONTACT DR. MUGURU SPELLS. dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com

Hello Everyone, I'm from Switzerland, I want to say a big thanks to you Dr.Muguru for the revenge death spell you helped cast on Claudia who has been a big pain to my life, she takes away my happiness and everything, she took my husband from me. He even went to stay with her because her parents are rich and she has a house, am here to say big thanks to Dr. Muguru and to let the own world know about your good work, I will forever be grateful to you because without you my husband would've not come back to me, I advise anyone looking for an act of revenge or how to get rid off anyone to contact Dr. Muguru because he worked for me and the results are exactly as he promised. Once again thank you, Sir. his email dr.makinidrmurugu@gmail.com OR dr.makinidrmurugu@yahoo.com
Website: http://drmuruguspells.com
Website: https://drmakinidrmurugu.blogspot.com
whatsApp number +90 538 069 4285.

Anonymous said...

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joan hardy said...

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Call/WhatsApp: +2348054265852
Email: droselumen@gmail.com DOCTOR OSELUMEN CAN AS WELL HELP THE FOLLOWING PROBLEMS
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Sally said...

Hello my name is Sally my fiance broke up with me last week i was so sad I changed completely, I wasn't eating and i wasn't talking to anybody, I cried a lot,I was so depressed and stressed out that I was scared I'm going to end up in the hospital because of all the stress and depression until one day i search online on getting love tips because I Love & care about him deeply and I just want us to be together as a couple again and I want us to last forever then i found a powerful spell caster Called Priest Ade that he solved so many relationship problem then Priest Ade told me he will come back to me between 24hrs after he cast spell on him never believe it until my finance called me on the phone and told me he want us to come back and live happily together forever , Am so happy now that Priest Ade help me bring my finance back to me. Thanks so much Priest Ade  he can also help you Email him at 
ancientspiritspellcast@yahoo.com or ancientspiritspellcast@gmail.com 
Blog: https://priestade.blogspot.com
WhatsApp +2347059715465

Sally said...

Hello my name is Sally my fiance broke up with me last week i was so sad I changed completely, I wasn't eating and i wasn't talking to anybody, I cried a lot,I was so depressed and stressed out that I was scared I'm going to end up in the hospital because of all the stress and depression until one day i search online on getting love tips because I Love & care about him deeply and I just want us to be together as a couple again and I want us to last forever then i found a powerful spell caster Called Priest Ade that he solved so many relationship problem then Priest Ade told me he will come back to me between 24hrs after he cast spell on him never believe it until my finance called me on the phone and told me he want us to come back and live happily together forever , Am so happy now that Priest Ade help me bring my finance back to me. Thanks so much Priest Ade  he can also help you Email him at 
ancientspiritspellcast@yahoo.com or ancientspiritspellcast@gmail.com 
Blog: https://priestade.blogspot.com
WhatsApp +2347059715465

Sally said...

Hello my name is Sally my fiance broke up with me last week i was so sad I changed completely, I wasn't eating and i wasn't talking to anybody, I cried a lot,I was so depressed and stressed out that I was scared I'm going to end up in the hospital because of all the stress and depression until one day i search online on getting love tips because I Love & care about him deeply and I just want us to be together as a couple again and I want us to last forever then i found a powerful spell caster Called Priest Ade that he solved so many relationship problem then Priest Ade told me he will come back to me between 24hrs after he cast spell on him never believe it until my finance called me on the phone and told me he want us to come back and live happily together forever , Am so happy now that Priest Ade help me bring my finance back to me. Thanks so much Priest Ade  he can also help you Email him at 
ancientspiritspellcast@yahoo.com or ancientspiritspellcast@gmail.com 
Blog: https://priestade.blogspot.com
WhatsApp +2347059715465