Thursday, October 25, 2018

London Instant Runoff Breakdown

London (Ontario) just had its first election using instant-runoff balloting. As I've mentioned before, I'm very interested in different forms of electoral reform, so as a new resident of London I was intrigued as to how the vote would work out.

London's system is a bit unusual inasmuch as voters can only rank their first three choices, but otherwise follows a pretty classic Instant Runoff system. Many of the elections resulted in first round winners, and therefore don't have a lot of room for fun analysis, but some of them went deeper and I thought it might be fun to show how the progressed in a Sankey diagram!

First of all, here's Ward 5 (my ward!):


As with all of the following, the leader in the first round ultimately ended up winning. Due to the lack of ability of voters to rank more than three candidates, the number of exhausted votes tends to grow quite quickly after the third round. Interesting patterns include the large number of Clarke supporters moving to Cassidy, and the relatively large number of Knott supporters preferring Warden over Cassidy at the end.

Ward 8
This race ended closer than it began, and likely didn't see any change in leader throughout the race due to the lack of strong trends in down-ballot rankings. 


Ward 9
This race ended quite quickly, with Hopkins getting more than 50% of the vote by the third round after preferential support from Charlebois' supporters.

Ward 12


Similar to Ward 9 - disproportionate support from Mohamed's voters to Peloza secured a win in the fourth round.
Ward 13
One of the tighter races of the election. Kayabaga drew large support from Warren and Hughes supporters, whereas Fyfe-Millar drew more support from Wilbee and Lundquist voters.

Ward 14


Pretty straightforward - along with being the top first choice, Hillier was the preferred alternate for both Tipping and Swalwell's voters leading to a more secure finish than start.


Mayor

(Click to zoom and enhance!)

This one was far more lopsided than all the others. In the early rounds of voting, there was a small amount of jostling for positions 7-9 in the rankings, but apart from that no real changes occurred until Cheng's elimination. No abnormally strong trends in down-ticket voting occurred, though, so Holder held one throughout the end.

The city clerk has promised more detailed information to come out soon, so stay tuned for further analysis!

32 comments:

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Hey everyone!
I'm so excited. My ex-boyfriend is back after few months of breakup, I’m extremely happy that will are living together again. My boyfriend of 4yr just broke up with me and am 30 weeks pregnant. I have cried myself to sleep most of the nights and don’t seem to concentrate during lectures sometimes I stay awake almost all night thinking about him and start to cry all over again. Because of this I end up not having energy for my next day’s classes, my attendance has dropped and am always in uni and on time. Generally he is a very nice guy, he ended it because he said we were arguing a lot and not getting along. He is right we’ve been arguing during the pregnancy a lot .After the break up I kept ringing him and telling him I will change. I am in love with this guy and he is the best guy I have ever been with. I’m still hurt and in disbelief when he said he didn’t have any romantic feelings towards me anymore that hurt me faster than a lethal syringe. He texts me now and then mainly to check up on how am doing with the pregnancy, he is supportive with it but it’s not fair on me, him texting me as I just want to grieve the pain and not have any stress due to the pregnancy.
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Isiyku Abdulahi
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Hi, I am Laura Christ from the USA. I have just experienced the wonders of Dr. Raypower love spell that have been spread on the internet and worldwide, How he marvelously helped people all over the world to restore their marriage life and get back lost lovers, and also help to win the lottery. I contacted him after going through so many testimonies from different people about how he helped to bring ex lover back, i told him about my husband that abandoned me about 8 months ago, and left home with all I had.. Dr Raypower only told me to smile and have a rest of mind. He will handle it all in just 24 hours, After the second day my husband called me, i was just so shocked, i picked the call and couldn't believe my ears, he was really begging me to forgive him and making promises on the phone.. He came back home and also got me a new car just for him to prove his love for me. i was so happy and called Dr Raypower and thanked him, he only told me to share the good news all over the world .. Well if you need an effective and real spell caster contact Dr Raypower Via email: Urgentspellcast@gmail.com or Call or WhatsApp: +1 (424) 330-8109 and also see more reviews about him on his website: https://urgentspellcast.wordpress.com/

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hello everyone My name is Frank Randazzo from mexico but base in  the united states ,i just want to share my testimony with the world on how Doctor HARRY Help me to enlarge my penis. Please read my good news carefully and i am sure it will affect your life positively on how you will also enlarge your pines,because i know some many people out there also need his help! I came across so many comments about Dr HARRY Penis Enlargement Medicine cream some weeks ago, on his website https://drharryherbaltempl.wixsite.com/solutiontemple   though I had really wanted my penis to be large, long and thick  because i was not able to have sex with my wife It was really affecting our marriage and my wife was about to divorce me. I had about 8.128cm – 3.2 inches before. Am really amazed on the fast results achieved within 7 days of using Dr. harry Penis Enlargement Medicine. It work and now I have got 22.87cm – 10.5 inches now. And my wife love it more now, i began to feel the enlargement of my penis, This went on for a little period of about 14 days and to my surprise my wife keeps screaming that she love my big dick now. And my penis is now 11 inches long on erection and off course very large round. I am very happy for this Penis Enlargement experience. He can help with all kinds of cure you may need as follows Penis Enlargement Low sperm count Weak Erection diabetes type 1and 2 Herpes spell HIV spell Pregnancy spell Marriage for spell cancer ALS watering sperm womb fertilization penis erection witch craft attack s t d diseases internal heat swollen body low sperm count long time sickness kidney,heart,lungs,problem with doctor,Dr. HARRY you are in safe hands your healing is assured Email:   drharrysolution@gmail.com Website  https://drharryherbaltempl.wixsite.com/solutiontemple   Call or whatsapp +2349036417079 thanks      

Brooklyn said...

My wife left our marriage and home suddenly a few years ago. Several months later, I had my own Damascus Road Experience. My wife's heart remains as hard as stone, and she has even turned her back on her beliefs as a Christian and going to church. This past Sunday i saw a comment on Facebook about a woman testifying about how Dr Prince Iidialu the great love spell caster help her restore her marriage after 7 years of separation i never believe but just want to give a trier to my greatest surprise My wife called me just after 24 hours of the spell as ask me to forgive her that she is sorry for the pains she has cased me ,well today my My wife is back home and now we are leaving together as one family all thanks to Dr Prince Idialu for helping me bring back My wife once again thank you. Are you having any relationship problem contact him:princeidialu@outlook.com or call or WhatsApp +1(504)603-3666) i am a living testimony

Tamara Barrow said...

MY DAUGHTER CANCER HEALING TESTIMONEY

Hi everyone, this is good news, a perfect and greats one. My daughter of
17years who has suffered of Colon Cancer Stage for 2 and half years has been
cure by a Herbal doctor called Dr voodoo, who uses herbal and traditional
medicine to cure people. I have spent so much on my daughter's health for
years but no improvement. A friend told me about this herbal man who cure
people with herbal medicine. he cures all sickness, diseases, viruses, and
infections with his different herbal curing medicine.The result that
declares my daughter janet healed was from a hospital here in USA, And the
results of the test says my daughter was okay. Dr voodoo directed that
janet would be heal in 7days if she uses the medicine as directed. And
7days later, we went to confirm from the central hospital and several test
that was done says my daughter is not sick or anything. So she was cured by
this herbal doctor in 7days. This amaze me though. I would advice everyone
to meet this Dr voodoo his email is voodoospelltemple66@gmail.com
for his herbal medicine to cure your illness because am happy to see my
daughter healthy again.Meet Dr voodoo and set yourself and your love ones
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Unknown said...

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Susan Hedstrom said...

Life has not been easy with me after my marriage was broken when my husband filled for a divorced but I thank God for using LORD ZAKUZA who's like a God on Earth to get my broken marriage restored with his powerful spell. I suffered for depression for 6 months but today, I am so happy for getting to know LORD ZAKUZA for his spell has really made me to believe that of a truth spells are real and they work. I adhered to every bit of instructions given to me by LORD ZAKUZA for he promised me that he will make me happy and proud and really, all that happened and my husband came back to me begging me for forgiveness within 48 hours after I got in touch with him and now we are perfectly bonded again for life. I can boldly say to everyone out there that LORD ZAKUZA spells is really the best. I'm forever grateful to him till the end of time. So, you can get connected with him via Email: lordzakuza7@gmail.com or his website: https://lordzakuzaspells.com or on WhatsApp +1 (740) 573-9483.